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I woke up this morning and started looking over all of my favorite business news websites and I saw that the headlines for today was something like…..,

“Economic Growth at a Standstill, Revised Government reports 2nd Quarter Growth Down Sharply”

I get asked often, “who is your business” because, people want to know, is housing recovering. My reply to this question is normally,

“The worse the economy gets, the better my business. I am Bentley shopping have you seen the new Bentley Continental GT?”

Everyone laughs in nervous anticipation thinking I was joking and that any minute now I am going to say something to diffuse the un-comfortableness floating in the air like a lead balloon but, I don’t. My point with my reply is, the economy isn’t growing, it’s not even set to grow. In fact, the economy is actually set to fail and fail big. People are amazed or even combatively when I say these things, it’s almost as if they are walking around in a drug educed stupor with the thought bubble floating over their head that reads something like,

“YES, WE CAN” or “HOPE” and even better, “CHANGE”

The economy reminds me of that scene in the movie Constantine where Keanu Reeve’s character “John Constantine” has a face to face encounter with the angel Gabriel who want’s to make the human race earn the love of God by hastening the coming of Satan’s son. Gabriel explains her madness by elaborating that the human races is capable of such incredible triumphs but, through her years of observing us, she realizes that we only change when we are on the event horizon of total destruction or despair. She goes on further to say, she will bring further our destructions so that we can rise to the occasion and be found worthy of God’s love and grace.

Yes, it’s a sick, crazy understanding of human nature but, what could we ever expect from a being (an angel) who has felt as a 2nd class race for eternity? You need to understand the concept from Gabriel’s point of view. She knows, God has put her and her race as 2nd, in behind humans which in her eyes have done nothing but, thrown Gods incredible grace back in his face whereas, she and the other angels have served and will serve for eternity without such love or forgiveness.

In many ways, this battle that Gabriel struggles with, in the movie, is suppose to be a reflection of the concept of communal grace or collective salvation and manifest destiny.

In other words, Gabriel can’t be saved from these wretched horrible, less than desirable position behind humans unless everyone can be saved and she believes it’s God’s will and that she is doing God’s work and come hell or high water, she is going to make it happen.

Now, let me ask you, do you believe this theology could be present in our current Government leadership?

Yeah, I know….the movie analogy is a bit fanciful and maybe a bit ridiculous but, it’s a good analogy none the less.

Is it possible that our Government is being lead to bring forth fundamental change in the way of transforming our country into a socialist utopia where Government knows best. Is it possible that some in our Government feel it’s their destiny to make these changes and they are doing a good work by following what they believe is God’s will for their lives? Is it possible that some in our Government are working towards this transformation by creating a environment of total destruction so that they can rise up as our saviors and cleanse us of this evil capitalism that we suffer from?

Here is what I know. I know that Franklin Roosevelt announced in a radio program that he believed in a 2nd Bill of Rights, of which, this administration has succeeded in accomplishing a few of those items.

The specific right I want to focus on is “The right of every family to a decent home.”

2nd Bill of Right # 2: The right of every family to a decent home;

Once again, the politicians realized you can’t just give people a home but, you can collapse the housing industry and everyone who has a home and paying a mortgage can keep their homes regardless if they pay or not because, the government can raise taxes, create bailouts or take over banks and simply cancel out the homeowner’s debt at the expensive of the tax payer.

Let’s be clear, the Progressive agenda to move away from our constitution or to transform our constitution has been in the works for a long time. With the Progressive control of the White House and both houses of Government, we are simply seeing a fast forwarding of their agenda.

Make no mistake, you can’t have a housing recovery without jobs and from my point of view, this Government hasn’t done anything to increase jobs. In my opinion, they have done what they can to kill jobs and that leaves me with a question…………..why.

The next time your asked about your business, the next time someone ask you when you think we will recover from this economic crisis I hope you remember this blog, I hope you ask yourself do you really know what is happening in our Government that will forever impact our industry and how we do business.

This isn’t a Republican vs. Democrat argument, this is a Constitution vs. Progressive argument of which, both go to the core beliefs that you may have about this divinely inspired country.

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Why Don't Banks Act Rationally in a Short Sale?

Why do some short sales get approved, and others rejected?
 
Why do some short sales with loans from the same bank get approved while others don’t?
 
Why do some short sales with loans by the same bank in the same developments get approved while others are denied?

 

Keep your short sale from derailing with these tips.

 
The world of the short sale is changing on a daily basis, and what you know today will be different tomorrow. The rules change, the players change, the documentation changes every minute.  There is, however, one constant: you do not always know whether a short sale will close or not.
 
Two years ago only about 5% were closing, now that number is more like 50%. Still, it's quite risky for buyers and sellers to get their hopes invested in a successful short sale when the odds are 50/50.  There are some things you can do to help insure the process has the best chance of closing.
 
In general if the following are true then the chances are better:
 
1.     The realtors on both ends know what they are doing and have the time, energy, and resources to follow up to set expectations appropriately.  The buyer can not be in a hurry!
 
2.     The fewer the liens the better. One loan is best, two loans with the same bank is second, two loans with two banks third, two loans with other liens such as taxes are probably not going to work out.
 
3.     The short sale process was started before a notice of default was filed.
 
4.     The buyer is well qualified.
 
5.     The home is owner occupied.
 
 
None of these things will guarantee a positive result, but they help.  The biggest problem in the short sale process comes from third parties who are not the bank, but either investors that purchased the loans like hedge funds, or insurance companies who insure the loans for the banks (not mortgage insurance for the borrower).
 
These entities can derail a short sale, and it is not possible to know if they exist, or what they will say before the process begins, unless of course you are dealing with a bank approved short sale--but that is a different story.  So the lender may appear to be Bank of America or Chase, but the investor who put up the money maybe someone else and if so they have to agree to the price and terms.  Or sometimes the second lender will get more money in a foreclosure and will not agree to release the lien.  When this happens, what appears to be an irrational move by the bank, may have nothing to do with them.
 
These are a few of the reasons why seemingly illogical things often happen in the world of short sales.
 
Marcy Moyer
Keller Williams Realty
DRE  01191914
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The Stock Market Looks At Real Estate


Well, we all have heard the bad news, housing sales down again, hugely - 23% in the quarter. NAR reports that sales are at their lowest since the sales series launched in 1999, and single family sales are at the lowest level since May of 1995. And it doesnt look much better in the near term either. Pending sales, a forward indicator of market activity, dropped 30% based on contracts signed on May and is almost 16% the May 09 numbers.

These reports are always about today. The stock market, however, is considered a discount mechanism. It trys to look into the future...to look past a problem and try to determine value and opportunity. So I wanted to see what the stock market had to say about these dismal numbers.

Heres What the Stock Market Says About Real Estate
Its all About What You Focus On.

Its not without its losers, but the sector rallied on this news! In fact demand for homes sold has been relatively strong given real market conditions. see chart Even in the face of foreclosures, underwater borrowers and unemployment and the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Why?

Affordability
Stock market investors are looking at whats next and they see affordability. Home prices have declined to levels beginning to look affordable. Certainly painful for millions, but its how markets cycle. When prices get silly, they have to rationalize before an intelligent buyer will enter.

Supply
The builders have not been putting up much new stock for quite a while and today I noticed the builder stocks were up. Lennar did a deal worth 3 billion with the FDIC to buy bank loans and Toll Brothers swings to profit today. All of this in spite of a huge inventory overhang, perhaps the largest on record. see chart

Cheap Money
The cost of many is also very low and part of the affordability issue. Average rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are hovering around 5%.

Demographics
Investors are hoping demographics and population growth can also take up the slack.

Why the S&P Real Estate REIT index is up from a one year low of $73.85 to over $105 today. We have more to work through and the near and mid term are rocky but the economy is still expected to recover and homes still sell.

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By now everyone knows about the Making Home Affordable Program. What's new is that since August 1, participating lenders are now required to include the unemployed and their unemployment benefits to make homeowners eligible for assistance.

This includes making no payments or minimal payments while they look for work. When the homeowner finds employment, the participating lender will evaluate the homeowner for a permanent modification that is based on the new income.

Themoney that was not collected during this forbearance period is still anoutstanding debt and may be added to the balance of the loan or repaideach month in addition to the new payment.

In the works for California is the Keep Your Home forbearance program. It will assist the unemployed who have exhausted the federal assistance program if they have a participating lender.

How is a financially challenged state such as California able to provide this assistance? With federal TARP funds entitled Treasury's Hardest Hit Program.Originally the assistance would be $1500/mo or 1/2 of the mortgagepayment. However, California recently learned they are receiving a moremoney than expected, so plans are being drawn to be more generous. Thisplan will go into effect November 1, 2010.

In addition, HUD will soon announce an Emergency Homeowner Loan Program.It will provide loans up to $50,000 with zero interest to helpborrowers with mortgage payments, taxes, and insurance. This programwas designed to help homeowners who are not covered by the Hardest Hitprogram.

All these programs have stipulations, time-lines, andrequirements. The most important thing is to seek help as soon as youbecome unemployed or miss that first payment. The worse thing you can dois "nothing".
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FHA Short Refinance Program

Effective September 7, 2010 homeowners who qualify can apply for an FHA Short Refinance. Here are some of the requirements.

1. Home must be worth less than the current mortgage
2. Current mortgage must be Non-FHA
3. Homeowner must be current on their mortgage
4. Homeowner must have a credit score of 500+
5. Property must be primary residence
6. This program is voluntary and must be agreed upon by All lien holders
7. First lien holder must agreed to write off at least 10% of unpaid balance
8. Loan to value ratio to be no more than 115%

Just as with the many other homeowner assistance programs, the banks are not required to participate.Another drawback is the second lien holder. They have been responsiblefor many short sales and loan modification failures. They too are notrequired to participate.

I heard about this program late lastyear. A few lenders were already offering the program. However, when Iasked for details, they admitted very few homeowners were eligible. Inaddition, reducing a principal 10% is hardly a source of relief forthose who bought between 2001-2007 in Riverside County, CA. Thoseprincipals would have to be reduced around 50% to be of value.

Iwish I could be more optimistic, but I see another government sponsoredprogram that is complicated, hard to qualify for, and once againprolongs the inevitable.
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Bank of America has assumed a leading role in processing Short Sales. It is well known in the real estate industry that BofA was the first bank to start tracking Short Sales on-line in the Equator platform, making the transaction more transparent and shortening the time it takes to process.

This morning, BofA held their third webinar related to Short Sales. The title of today's webinar was 10 Tips to a Successful Short Sale. Here's are the ten tips offered by the webinar:

1. Agent Short Sale Education & Training

2. Setting Realistic Expectations for Both Buyers & Sellers

3. Get Outside Liens Released As Quckly As Possible (2nd liens, HOA etc.)

4. Work to Sell Property @ Fair Market Value.

5. Fully Execute Purcahse Contract Before Submission.

6. Negotiate Escrow Fees in Advance & Submit Complete HUD.

7. Check all Documents Prior to Submission to Equator. Illegible documents will be rejected.

8. Complete Tasks in Equator in a Timely Manner. Counter not answered on time will be automatically rejected.

9. Agree on Counter Offers Before Accepting.

10. Identify Potential/Common Causes for Delay

Here's hoping other banks follow BofA's example!!!

Here's a link to the entire recorded webinar: http://video.webexlivestream.com/events/webx001/35673/eFrame.jsp?mei=35673&cf=webx001&;

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Evaluation Solutions and getting paid????

I am wondering if anyone else is having trouble being paid by this company. I have been calling and emailing almost daily without any response. It has been 90 days and no repsonse from anyone. The phone number listed is for extensions of the people who hand out BPO's. I am so frustrated! Does anyone have any suggestions of how I can get my money?Birgit Anglin Windermere Exclusive properties isellhomes@aol.com
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Mortgage Bankers Association for the week of 08/11/2010

Market Composite Index: (loan application volume) increased 0.6 percent on a seaso
nally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.4 percent compared with the previous week.

Refinance Index: increased 0.6 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 0.3 percent from one week earlier.

Purchase Index: decreased 0.3 percent compared with the previous week and was 34.1 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

Refinance Share of Mortgage Activity: increased to 78.1 percent of total applications from 78.0 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 5.9 percent from 5.4 percent of total applications from the previous week.

Arm Share: increased to 5.9 percent from 5.4 percent of total applications from the previous week.

MBA outlook: (Excerpted from mbaa.org)

Federal Reserve policymakers have been increasingly clear that they will keep their target rate at exceptionally low levels for an extended perio d. They have also made no moves to this point in terms of asset sales from their trillion dollar portfolio of mortgage backed securities. Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs large buyouts of delinquent loans from MBS have substantially been completed by this point, so there are no longer large-scale purchases of MBS by unconventional buyers artificially constraining mortgage rates. However, continued financial turmoil appears to have led many investors, including international buyers, to favor MBS, and new issuance remains quite low.

We predict that mortgage originations will fall to $1.48 trillion in 2010 from an estimated $2.1 trillion in 2009. Purchase originations will decrease 7 percent to $686 billion, as home prices continue to fall and the boost from the homebuyer tax credits wane. Refinance originations will fall by about 42 percent to $797 billion in 2010. We continue to mark up our refinance origination forecast given that mortgage rates have continued to remain close to historical lows.

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30-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged 4.44 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending August 12, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.49 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.29 percent.

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged a record low of 3.92 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.95 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.68 percent.

Five-year indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages ARMs: Averaged 3.56 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.63 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.75 percent.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs: Averaged 3.55 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.64 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.78 percent

Freddie Sayz

Interest rates for fixed mortgages and 5 year hybrid ARMs again broke record lows this week following reports of a sluggish job market. Private payrolls increased by 71,000 jobs in July, below the market consensus forecast, and revisions shaved June's growth by 34,000 workers.

The Federal Reserve also noted in its August 10th policy statement that the pace of recovery in output and employment slowed since its last meeting in June. Low rates are helping to heal many battered local housing markets by increasing home purchase activity. The National Association of Realtors reported that 65 percent of the 155 metropolitan areas they track experienced yearly increases in the second quarter of this year. This compares to 60 percent of areas in the first quarter and only 44 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009

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The Rental Sector Is Looking Up


June vacancy rates in the largest 64 markets in the country averaged 6.6%, down from 8.2% at the end of 2009, according to MPF Research. We certainly see the increase in rental demand in 2010, and it's been a little more, frankly, than most apartment experts had anticipated," said Mark Obrinsky, chief economist for the National Multi Housing Council.

This may be the brightest sector and only strong story in a dismal market. There is a real sense of confidence building in the rental sector based on a few strong factors not present in the rest of the housing market. see chart Apartments never had the build out boom that homes did. High unemployment among echo boomers will keep a lid on rentals catering to the 25-34 year olds in the short term. The echo-boom generation, almost 80 million strong, along with a large immigration trend and retirees coming into the city, coupled with a drastic pullback in housing construction, points to strong rent growth starting in 2011, notes Marcus and Millichap. Quite a rental pool indeed!

Reis reports a widespread consensus that there will be a supply shortage of multifamily rentals as early as next year. This constrained supply may lead to robust rent growth. The leading indicator for housing has to be jobs. A lack of job creation will keep echo boomers at home longer or doubling up in roommate situations. Retirees coming to the city from the burbs, may no be able to sell or rent and so will have to remain in large homes. The optimists would see this as a staging area for real growth in 2011-2012. However, for the long haul investor/owner its simply a matter of time before an expanding economy unleashes the powerful demographic trio waiting in the wings.

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If you have an up-side down loan that is causing you a true hardship, never just walk away!

A foreclosure will follow you long after it is finally removed from yourcredit. If you ever apply for a loan, a job, etc. you will see thisquestion staring you in the face -Have you ever had a foreclosure? Ifyou say "no" it is fraud.

Applying for a Loan Modification or Short Sale can betime consuming and stressful. However, by going through the process anddocumenting that you tried your best and were still turned down, you canuse this documentation to apply for another home loan later.

Ways todemonstrate your willingness to work with the bank can include:

1. Picturesof your home, showing how well you maintained it.
2. List your home forsale ASAP, preferably before you miss payments.
3. List it with an agent so they can enter it in
the MLS for maximum exposure.
4. Price it right - include a comparative market analysis.
5.
Showthat the bank would not participate inthe HAFA Program.
6. If you are turned down for a Loan Mod or a Short Sale, ask for a reason in writing.

You will need an experience realtor who specialistsin Loan Modifications and Short Sales to find a buyer and negotiate withLoss Mitigation on your behalf.

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This blog post isn't directly related to the REO business, but it is related to better business and life practices to increase your productivity and inhance your business and life - which is related to the REO business.

I am a hugh fan of Darren Hardy, publisher of Success Magazine and author of The Compound Effect (on recommended reading list). The great thing about Darren (who started out in Real Estate), and why I gravitate to him, is that his story, as exceptional as it is, could be your story. There is nothing spectacular about him that sets him apart from the rest of us (outside of his work ethic, drive and determination). But it is no secret that if you have good work ethic, drive and determination that you can also have success.

He didn’t inherit a trust fund or was given the keys to a family empire. He earned what he has. But he wasn’t a success overnight either. It was the little things that he did that compounded over time into success. And this is an easy principle that you can practice in your own life.

Main Points
1) Success is not derived for single herculean point-in-time efforts, but rather consistently doing 5-6 key practices over and over and over for a long period of time. Over night success doesn’t happen.
2) Darren’s primary thesis is that to build success you need to identify and eliminate bad habits and replace them with good habits. His definition of a bad habit is quite broad. For example, watching TV is a bad habit because it takes away your precious time that could be spent on a good habit that could make you successful (such as learning a new skill).
3) Consistency is the key to success.
4) His formula for success: Success = Preparation + Personal Growth + Attitude + Opportunity + Action
5) You must constantly monitor habits and mold them. A bad habit that has been around a long time is very hard to eliminate.
6) The way to instill new good habits is to rigorously practice them for 3-4 weeks. The repetition of 3-4 weeks is usually enough to instill the habit. Employ a “success buddy” or “accountability buddy” if you need additional help.
7) Over the course of a few weeks you should catalog your bad habits. To do this, it might be helpful to write down where you spend your time on a daily basis (e.g. 50 minutes watching CSI, etc…)
8) Once you are fully self aware of all of your bad habits, determine what the triggers are. For example, if you eat too many potato chips, do you primarily do this while you are watching late night TV, then TV watching late at night is the trigger.
9) Once you know your triggers make a plan to get rid of them.
10) Once you identify a habit you are trying to instill in you life commit to a PDA - a Public Display of Accountability. Tell the dream team, tell you wife, tell you family and have them keep you true to your commitment.
11) The key to goal setting and goal achievement is Focus! Focus your attention on what you want and it will begin to appear. (I also recommend the book Focus by Al Reis - Nicks side note.)
12) In working to achieve your goals, think more about who you “have to become” to attain your goal rather than about the material goal. For example, if I want to be a successful investment manager what type of person must I be. Once you figure out who you have to become, it will be much much easier to attain your goal. Also, if you can really understand the “why” behind your goal, you are much more likely to attain that goal.
13) Here are a couple of tactics to use to get rid of bad habits:
A) Find the triggers,
B) eliminate the triggers
C) swap the trigger and the habit for something else - something positive
D) Ease in to eliminate the habit - for example set a plan to eliminate the habit over the next 2-3 months
E) for some habits just quit cold turkey.
14) Here are a couple of tactics for instilling good habits
A) Plan for a 3-4 week period to consciously think about forming the good habit so it will become memorized and instinctive
B) Set your self up to succeed (for example, if your goal is to get in shape, make sure your gym is 10 minutes from your house not 45 minutes from your house)
C) Frame the good habit your are trying to form positively in your mind (do not think of it as a burden)
D) Make a PDA (public display of accountability)
E) Find a success buddy that will help with accountability
F) If possible, work in some component of competition or comradeship. For example, if you are trying to get in shape join a jogging club.
G) Celebrate you incremental accomplishments as you move along
15) If you want to be successful you need to be a positive person (not delusional … just positive). To do this, you must go on a media diet. Today’s media perverts our view of the world. Therefore, filter it down to good things. For example, set up a RSS feed and don’t watch local or national cable news.


Other Good Ideas:
1) Keep an “Ah-ha” journal with you at all times and record your key thoughts. Capture these thoughts and reflect on them regularly. They can be the building blocks of great things in the future.
2) Being grateful for what you have is the key component to being truly happy. To really be grateful you need to express it to those around you that you are greatful to. When you express it you will receive it back.
3) Vice fasting. If you have a practice that is not really a bad habit but could be, it is a good idea to do a “vice fast” one or two times a year to make sure you are fully in control. For example, I drink coffee. I should probably take one week every 2-3 months and drink no coffee to ensure I am in control
4) Success Buddy - Similar to our Dream Team you should think about having a “Success Buddy”. Someone you can discuss things with and help hold you accountable to your goals.
5) Good Habit - Make your car a traveling success library. You should never listen to the radio again. Listen to instructional CDs, learn a new language, etc… (Nicks side-note - subscribe to Audible.com and download audio books. Great way to learn and work at the same time.)
6) Upgrade Your Associations - We are who we associate with. If someone is dragging you down, then cut them off. If someone is successful and positive, then increase the time you spend with them. You want “engines” not “anchors”. Some ways to expand/upgrade your associations are: A) via books - have a virtual relationship with someone that is a positive influence B) hire a Coach C) Personal BOA
7) Bust Your Environment - Is the dream in your head bigger than your environment. If so, change your environment. If you are surrounded by small thinking, then find a way to be around bigger thinkers. Also, don’t let your small thinking bring others down.

These notes are no comparison to the book “The Compound Effect.” I would recommend you buy it (which comes in an audio format so you can listen to it in your car) as well as subscribe to Success Magazine.

visit: www.nicksbusinessjournal.com.

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Freddie Mac Short Sales

Looking for help...does anyone have a contact at Freddie Mac to help me postpone a TS set for this coming up Monday(Aug 9, 2010)?? The negoitater said the investor will not postpone past this date. We received only 1 postponement and need just 1 more. Buyer has been waiting with a fully approved loan for these banks to do there job but it seems like they have other ideas. Or does anyone have any suggestions on how to postpone it to buy time to get this done before they foreclose??
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Mortgage Bankers Association for the week of 07/28/2010

Market Composite Index: (loan application volume) increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Refinance Index: increased 1.3 percent from the previous week

Purchase Index: increased 1.5 percent from one week earlier. This third straight weekly increase in the Purchase Index was driven by government purchase applications which increased 3.4 percent from last week, while conventional purchase applications were essentially flat.

Refinance Share of Mortgage Activity: increased 1.3 percent from the previous week.

Arm Share: decreased to 5.4 percent from 5.7 percent of total applications from the previous week.

MBA outlook: (Excerpted from mbaa.org)

We predict that mortgage originations will fall to $1.48 trillion in 2010 from an estimated $2.1 trillion in 2009. Purchase originations will decrease 7 percent to $686 billion, as home prices continue to fall and the boost from the homebuyer tax credits wane. Refinance originations will fall by about 42 percent to $797 billion in 2010. We continue to mark up our refinance origination forecast given that mortgage rates have continued to remain close to historical lows.

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The Politics of Housing
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Read more…

30-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged 4.49 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending August 5, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.54 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.22 percent.

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged a record low of 3.95 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.00 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.63 percent.

Five-year indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages ARMs: Averaged 3.63 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.76 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.73 percent.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs: Averaged 3.55 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.64 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.78 percent

Freddie Sayz

And yet again, interest rates for fixed-rate mortgages and now the hybrid 5-year ARM fell to all-time record lows this week following the second quarter GDP release . Annual revisions cut the cumulative GDP growth in half over the past three years ending in the first quarter of 2010 from 1.4 percent to 0.6 percent. This reduces inflationary pressures and allows longer-term rates room to ease.

More recently, housing investment picked up in the second quarter of this year as the homebuyer tax credit spurred new and existing sales and low mortgage rates encouraged remodeling. Fixed residential investment added 0.6 percentage points to second quarter real GDP growth following two quarters of decline

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Read more…

HELLO I RECEIVE THIS INFORMATION I HOPE IT CAN HELP BROKERS ON THOSE REGIONS.

July 20, 2010- Arlington, VA – Matt Martin Real Estate Management (MMREM) has been awarded three contracts by the U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) under the Marketing and Management III procurement. The Federal Housing Administration (FHA), which is a part of HUD, provides federal mortgage insurance ensuring that mortgage lenders will be reimbursed in the event homebuyers default on their mortgage. When a lender is forced to foreclose on an FHA-insured single family home, townhome, or condominium because the owner can no longer make payments, it can file a claim with FHA for the balance due on the mortgage and convey title of the property to HUD. A HUD Home, therefore, is a one-to-four unit residence acquired as a result of a foreclosure on an FHA-insured mortgage. As the largest seller of real estate in the country, HUD has been outsourcing the disposition of its foreclosed FHA inventory under the M&M contracting process since 1999. After conducting extensive research into market-based best practices, HUD has developed its new M&M III disposition structure to streamline its operations, capitalize on the expertise of potential vendors and provide flexibility in a changing environment.

MMREM will be managing HUD assets for the following states: VA, DC, MD, WV, OH, PA, TX, CO, UT, NM, OK, MO, KS, AR, LA, and DE. All listing brokers in those States are encouraged to visit www.mmrem.com to apply as an approved listing broker. Once on the MMREM web page, brokers will simply click on the HUD tab, and then click “register” to begin the process of becoming a registered Local Listing Broker (LLB) with MMREM.
About Matt Martin Real Estate Management: MMREM is a Virginia-based financial services firm that focuses on the real estate and mortgage industries. MMREM provides services to a myriad of clients including Federal and State governments, mortgage servicers, banks, investors, and insurers.
Please direct all questions to questions@mmrem.net


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This week’s Ask the AM really spurred me into action. I hear moans and groans all the time from agent s who just don’t like social networking. They gripe about how time consuming it is or they were never successful or, it’s too monotonous, or……….whatever else and all I got to say is, SO BAD, SO SAD, AINT YOU GLAD YOUR MOMA AINT YOUR DAD!

As Ned points out in the article, someone is using Social Networking and taking your business. This mysterious agent has become savvy enough to create a LinkedIn profile or Facebook page and is now using it with maximum force.

You see, while your setting back, accepting those listing assignments, this mysterious agent is sharing tweets or swapping emails or learning about your Asset Manager’s terrible weekend because they lost their dog Sparky (thanks Ned). Before you know it, this agent and your Asset Manager are developing a friendship vs. a business relationship. So, when the next assignment get sent out, who do you think is going to get it?

Granted, I know social networks take time to create…..I created REOPro for goodness sake however, I can’t stress to each of you, your lack of involvement is at your own detriment. Now, you may never have a social network of a thousand or more or ever have a goal to reach twenty five thousand but, a well oiled social network of a few hundred and make a huge difference.

Here is the stark cold truth. Asset Managers are loosing their jobs, getting re-assigned or simply dropping out and all this is happening because the business is changing so, what do you think these Asset Managers are doing when they are no longer Asset Managers? Well, let me tell you, they are getting real estate licenses and taking over territories for their friends back at the Bank or Asset Management Companies. My point is, if you aren’t on a first name basis, dirty joke telling, birthday card sending, meet up at the conference having drinks relationship………………..someone else is or is trying to be.

Now, as many of you know, I try to adhere to a high standard of morals and ethics so, don’t misconstrue what I am trying to say. No, you don’t go put in hardwood floors at your Asset Manager’s vacation home or send them a Visa Gift Card worth $5,000.00 to their P.O. Box , hopefully if you did they would refuse it but, you do call them regularly if nothing more to just shoot the breeze or say “Hi”.

Let me put this another way, hopefully it will ring true to you. REOPro currently has over 18,000 invites to join our network that are outstanding. In other words, these are members who downloaded their address books in to our system and REOPro system each person an invite to join. By now, we should have blown though our goal of 25,000 member however, I am still only getting maybe 15-20 new members a day. This is contributable to the fact that many of the people who received an invite never got a follow up saying, “check out this network”. Social networking is a lot like that follow up. If you don’t follow up and say “Hi” or learn about people, then why would anyone want to invest in you?

I will leave you with a quote, who it came from, I have no idea but, here it is…….

“A lead will make you some money, a follow up will make you rich”, I like to change that around a bit and say……

“A lead will make you some money, a active social network will ensure your kids don’t have to work”

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30-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged 4.54 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending July 29, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.56 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.25 percent.

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: Averaged a record low of 4.00 percent with an average 0.7 point , down from last week when it averaged 4.03 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.69 percent.

Five-year indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages ARMs: Averaged 3.76 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.79 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.75 percent.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs: Averaged 3.64 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.70 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.80 percent

Freddie Sayz

For the sixth week in a row, interest rates on fixed rate mortgages eased to all time record lows during a week of mixed housing data reports. The number of local markets experiencing annual increases in home prices appears to be growing. For instance, 13 metropolitan areas in the S&P/Case-Shiller 20 city index experienced price appreciation over the 12-months ending in May, compared to 11 in April and 10 in March.
However, existing home sales in June slowed to an annualized pace of 4.37 million units, the fewest since March. Moreover, although new home sales jumped by almost 24 percent to 330,000 dwellings, it represented the second slowest rate since 1963

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Mortgage Bankers Association for the week of 07/28/2010

Market Composite Index: (loan application volume) decreased 4.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier

Refinance Index: decreased 5.9 percent from the previous week.

Purchase Index: increased 2.0 percent from one week earlier and is the highest Purchase Index observed in the survey since the end of June

Refinance Share of Mortgage Activity: decreased to 78.0 percent of total applications from 79.4 percent the previous week.

Arm Share: increased to 5.7 percent from 5.2 percent of total applications from the previous week.

MBA outlook: (Excerpted from mbaa.org)

Federal Reserve policymakers have been increasingly clear that they will keep their target rate at exceptionally low levels for an extended period. They have also made no moves to this point in terms of asset sales from their trillion dollar portfolio of mortgage backed securities. Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs large buyouts of delinquent loans from MBS have substantially been completed by this point, so there are no longer large-scale purchases of MBS by unconventional buyers artificially constraining mortgage rates .

Purchase application data from MBAs Weekly Application Survey show no rebound in activity to date, with apps remaining at 13 year lows (15-year lows for conventional purchase mortgages). As the pending home sales and housing starts numbers showed, this drop in applications clearly predicts similar sized drops in home sales over the next couple of months.

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Last year I predicted that Palo Alto will see more short sales in the future. Well, the future is now so what is happening? There are currently 2 short sales on the market, 5 in escrow, and 6 closed in the last year. This isn't a huge number, but certainly more than we saw in the early part of the century. There's a lot of chatter in the media about how the government is giving banks and homeowners incentives for short sales, and how banks save money by allowing short sales, but does that help the typical Palo Alto underwater seller?


The short answer is no. There is not a lot of help for owners with jumbo mortgages.

The long answer is maybe not.

Here is what I have learned in the last year. It may not be the whole picture, as this world of what happens at the banks, hedge funds, and mortgage insurance companies is not transparent--but I have been involved in short sales and have studied them a lot.

If you are one of the few owners who has one loan then the chances of a successful short sale are much higher. The bank will lose less money than with a foreclosure and will be more inclined to approve your sale. This is assuming you have a verifiable hardship. However, even people with only one loan may run into road blocks if the bank has investors who own pieces of that loan,( frequently hedge funds) and if they don't feel the offer on the house is good enough for them they may derail the sale.

Ok, so what if you have 2 loans, but they are both with the same bank. Again, this is usually easier than some of the other scenarios, but not a guarantee. The bank may be willing, but the investors may not be.

Third scenario, you have 2 loans with 2 different banks. First bank offers second bank 3-10K to allow short sale. The theory is second bank will get nothing if there is a foreclosure. Second bank can have 3 reactions.

1. Co-operate because they get nothing if there is a foreclosure.

2. Play hardball because they know the first bank will lose more money if they foreclose.

3. Not cooperate because they have insurance on the second loan and will get more money if the first bank forecloses and they get paid 25% of their loan from the insurance company as opposed to the 1-5% they are being offered by the first lien holder. In this scenario the first bank is probably not losing too much because borrower has very little equity to begin with since they borrowed on a second or equity line.

4th scenario: In addition to a first and second loan there are other liens against the house including tax or business or personal loan liens. In this case a short sale is almost impossible to accomplish and it is not worth anyone’s time.

So as you can see this is a complicated process and not for the faint at heart. Since many of the loans on Palo Alto homes are jumbo, there are a lot of hedge fund managers out there making decisions about markets in which they may not have enough information. Added to that is the growing resentment against borrowers who are opting for a strategic default or foreclosure because the asset (their home) has depreciated so much they don't feel it is a good investment strategy to hold onto it.

It will be very interesting to see how many attempted short sales actually go through in the next year.
Marcy Moyer
Keller Williams Realty
650-619-9285
Twitter

*photo courtesy of South Florida Short Sales

Marcy Moyer Keller Williams Realty Palo Alto, Ca. Specialist in Trust and Probate Sales

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