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Broker Price Opinion Needs

WePro BPO has been established as a Broker Price Opinion outsourcing company which caters all types of Residential and Commercial properties throughout United States.

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John Gattinger

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We typically expect MLS inventory in the 4th to quarter begin dropping but boy howdy, inventory levels really dropped this year! We are at the lowest level since starting this project in 2009 and on a long-term downward trajectory in all three segments of sale type.

To see a graphic illustration of this trend view the charts and tables:,ORTrends.html

Reminder: the charts and tables do not include bare land, multi-family homes, time shares or mobile homes without land.

Bank Owned (REO) inventory remains but a fraction of total inventory in Bend and Redmond. Total REO inventory is down approx. 85% below peak levels.

Future availability of this segment remains uncertain as government intervention and the developing reluctance of lenders/servicers to foreclose in the first place or release for sale their current inventory has slowed the flow of these properties to the market.

The continuing saga of the fate and actual size of this “shadow inventory” I believe will continue to be shrouded in uncertainty for quite some time. What we do know, is most homes for sale in this segment sell quickly.

Short sale inventory continues the long-term slide as well. Total Short Sale inventory is also down approx. 85% below peak levels.

The Mortgage Debt Relief Forgiveness Act expires in just a few weeks and may have slowed down this segment. Most “experts” believe the act will be extended and retroactive if extended after the deadline.

Of potentially equal importance I believe, in my face to face experience with most distressed home-owners they have no intention of short selling or even letting go of their homes in any way. What happens with the distressed homeowner segment whether it is short selling, foreclosure, loan re-modification or some other form of settlement will be pivotal to future market direction.   

“Non-Distressed”/“Traditional” Inventory is roughly half of what it was at peak levels since starting this project in 2009. The downward trend is less pronounced than short sales and REO but a significant downward trend nonetheless. An overwhelming percentage of this segment experiences long marketing times, expirations and terminations as most list prices continue to be misaligned with what current market conditions will bear.

Looking forward, we are right in the middle of the seasonal low inventory period and typically expect tighter supplies in the coming months. The list-to-sold ratios however, indicate future MLS inventory will fall below seasonal levels of the past 3 yrs.,ORTrends.html

We are also near the typical end of year jump in expirations which will put a big, typically short-term dent in inventory if this is a typical year. Whatever that is these days!

Final Thoughts

Our market has definitely strengthened. Some might argue it is an artificial development while others will argue it is a sign of recovery. What can be said for certain is we have experienced a long-term and significant trend of declining inventory accompanied by price firming and appreciation in many areas throughout Bend, Redmond and Central Oregon.

Supply is tight and appears this will be the case at least in the near-term.

Merry Christmas!!!!!!!!

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According to Royal Bank of Scotland analysts, using data from corelogic, "The month-over-month price decline in November was the largest in 2010."


The most recent CoreLogic (CLGX: 19.11 -0.21%) Housing Price Index, scheduled for public release next week, will show home prices dipped 3.35% nationally from November 2009 to November 2010.




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Foreclosure starts are continuing to rise to record highs but total delinquencies fell in March to 7.88%, a month-over-month decrease of 5.8%, according to the April 2009 LPS Mortgage Monitor from Lender Processing Services, Inc., Jacksonville, Fla. The seasonal February to March decline in delinquencies in the five years from 2002 to 2007 averaged 14%, and the number of newly delinquent loans saw a greater decline in March compared to 2008. March's foreclosure rate was 2.52%, reflecting a month-over-month increase of 12.8% and a year-over-year increase of 87.8%. The percentage of loans improving in status continued to increase in March, while loans deteriorating in status declined. The report said foreclosure starts in March hit new all-time highs across every major product category. The largest 12-month increase was seen in jumbo loans at 221%, non-agency conforming loans at 158%, and agency prime loans at 144%. Foreclosure starts on portfolio loans spiked significantly during the month, the company said. GMNA was the only investor category to remain stable for the month. LPS said foreclosure sales dropped significantly in March, due in large part to the reinstatement of the FHFA moratorium in February and continuing through the end of March. The report said refinance activity remains high, with a slight increase in available liquidity to borrowers who are 30-days delinquent.
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