Posted by Michael Howard on September 24, 2009 at 1:30pm
From MSN Money today. BofA and Wells Fargo have both been on the record stating that the "shadow inventory" does not exist. This is the third published report I have read that sates otherwise. As servicers continue to trickle product into the market there is a strong chance that this will prolong the housing slump for more than originally thought. The tsunami we have all heard about, while driving prices continually lower might rid the market of this distressed inventory faster and perhaps hasten a quicker recovery...Thoughts?Analysts say 7 million soon-to-be foreclosed properties have yet to hit the market.Posted by Elizabeth Strott on Thursday, September 24, 2009 8:59 AMAny optimists touting a housing recovery might want to pause and think about this: Amherst Securities Group analysts believe the market faces another major hurdle because about 7 million properties that are likely to be seized by lenders have yet to hit the market.The "huge shadow inventory" reflects mortgages already being foreclosed upon or now delinquent and likely to be and, assuming no other properties are on the market, it would take 1.35 years to sell this inventory based on the current pace of existing-home sales, analyst Laurie Goodman wrote in a note to clients.In 2005, there were 1.27 million properties in the same situation.There have been a number of recent economic reports hinting at a recovery for the housing market. In May and June, the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city index of home prices rose, the first month-over-month increases in values since 2006. Prices for U.S. homes rose by 0.3% in July from June, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported earlier this week."The favorable seasonals will disappear over the coming months, and the reality of a 7-million-unit housing overhang is likely to set in," the analysts said, according to Bloomberg News .Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday that real-estate agents and analysts worry that when the shadow inventory is unleashed, it could cause a big bump in the road to recovery and add a new layer of difficulty for the housing market.Ivy Zelman, the chief executive of Zelman & Associates, a research firm based in Cleveland, believes 3 million to 4 million foreclosed homes will be put up for sale in the next few years. The question is whether the flow of these homes onto the market will resemble "a fire hose or a garden hose or a drip," she told the paper.
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Once again misinformation hitting the media! What this article doesn't say is that inventory in California has decreased primarily due to lack of new foreclosures coming on the market. Like most REO brokers in California I have watched my inventory shrink month after month as moratoriums from various institutions have worked themselves through fruition. In addition the banks have been holding back inventory trying to change the Mark to Market valuation system. A quick look at the mls will tell you there is just nothing to sell at this point. Watch the reported inventory numbers for August. It should be off the charts.Michael HowardXcel Reowww.xcelreo.comwww.xcelinvestments.comMay 29, 2009With almost a 50% increase in year-over-year sales, the inventory of unsold existing single-family homes for sale in California has been cut in half, from a 9.8 months' supply in April 2008 to 4.6 months' supply this April, the state's Realtors reported. However, while sales were up 49.2% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 540,360 — the eighth straight month above the 500,000 level — the median price of houses sold in the month declined by more than a third, largely because the majority of sales were at the low-end of the market. "Inventory levels for homes in the under $500,000 segment shrank to nearly three months in April, compared with almost 10 months a year ago, while unsold inventory in the more than $1 million segment rose to approximately 17 months, compared with roughly 10 months in April 2008," says California Association of Realtors President James Liptak. "The dramatic difference in inventory exemplifies how the low end of the market is attracting more first-time buyers and investors, creating a shortage of distressed properties for sale." The median price of existing homes sold in the month was $256,700, a 36.5 percent decrease from the revised $404,470 a year ago. But it was 1.4% greater than March's $253,040 median price. CAR's figures are based on data collected from more than 90 local Realtor associations statewide.
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Posted by MIRELA MONTE on February 4, 2009 at 2:07pm
Here are some current "Deals"... Oceanfront condos practically given away for a fraction of the price they used to sell for. All of these are "distressed property transactions", either Short Sales (Pre-Foreclosure), or Bank Owned (After Foreclosure).Ocean Villas: 2BR/1.5BA now priced at $139,900.2005 sold comp: $232,000!!!The Palace: 2BR/2BA now priced at $139,900.Same units sold in 2005 for $279,900!!!Beach Colony: 2BR/2BA now priced at $179,900.Same units sold in 2005 for $430,000!!!Prince Resort: 2BR/2BA now priced at $210,000.Same units sold in 2007 for $570,000!!!Paradise Resort: 2BR/2BA now priced at $210,029.Same units sold in 2006 for $379,900!!!Myrtle Beach Oceanfront Slaughter Fest. Get yours today! Are all these great deals? Some are, some are not! We'll uncover the mystery of the Myrtle Beach Oceanfront Deal later on this week. Stay tuned!Myrtle Beach Oceanfront by Mirela Monte Join Me on the Optimist Group!
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