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In East Palo Alto  from Jan 1, 2012 until June 30, 2012 there were:

36 closed short sales

20 closed bank owned homes

Total sales during this time period were 96

Total % Short Sales: 37.5%

Total % REO Sales: 20.8 %

Total Percentage  East Palo Alto Distressed Properties: 60.7%

60.7% of all East Palo Alto sales being distressed is enough to still have major effect on the overall market. However, as inventory is still so low unless these homes are truly physically distressed, which is more common with bank owned homes at this level, it probably will not have a long lived effect. It is interesting to see there are almost twice as many short sales as bank owned sales which has also happened in other cities. 

If you have any questions about short sales or foreclosures in San Mateo County please feel free to contact me.

Marcy Moyer

Keller Williams Realty

www.marcymoyer.com

marcy@marcymoyer.com

650-619-9285

DRE  01191194

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East Palo Alto short sale

 

There is another conflict brewing between investors and first time home-buyers, and this time the home buyers may win. In the more affordable areas of the Silicon Valley distressed properties, ie short sales and reos have been popular with investors and first time buyers. Many would be owner occupiers lose out on great opportunities to investors who have all cash.  Since condos are the least expensive properties, have the fewest maintenance issue,  and tend to bring in more rent per dollar spent they are popular with investors. Coupled with the more restrictive lending practices on condos, many bay area developments are now in a position where the number of owner occupied units has fallen to a critical level. Owners of these properties are having trouble refinancing and buyers trying to get loans are being rejected by the lenders.  As a result, many complexes are starting to pass new HOA regulations limiting the number of rentals allowed in the condo development.

These restrictions can be a double edged sword.  If they occur in a building where the delinquency rate on the HOA dues is too high then a buyer will not be able to get a loan anyway and it will effectively cut off all sales.  In the future when the market has settled down the rental restriction could put a damper on future sales.  However, if they are not instituted it may become impossible for anyone but investors to purchase in some condo complexes, which in itself will lower values not to mention make things harder for the first time home buyer. It will also make it impossible for current homeowners to ever refinance in some of these buildings.

I do not have the answer here as to what is right or wrong here. I can only give some advise on what to do if you want to purchase or sell a condo and want to get the information about potential rental restrictions.

1. Ask your agent to find out if the HOA docs are available yet.  If it is an reo they most likely will not be and a

short sale very likely not

2. If the docs are not available before you make an offer ask your agent to ask the listing agent for the number of the HOA management company

3. Call the management company and ask about any current or contemplated rental restrictions

It is not that hard to find out and can save a lot of time and possibly money.

If you have any questions about short sales in San Mateo or Santa Clara Counties please feel free to contact me.

 

Marcy Moyer

Keller Williams Realty

www.marcymoyer.com

marcy@marcymoyer.com

650-619-9285

D.R.E.  01191194

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The story continues in Seattle. Another local bank that has had troubles dealing with Special Assets related to their new construction loan departments has gone down again. This bank as many before it fails to recognize that they need to make changes with regard to how they are handling these distressed assets. Many properties are in the wrong hands of Reators who simply do not have the band width or knowledge of how to dispose of these properties. The bank managers are not willing to change, be transparent, or even discuss options. They just sit on their hands as the ship goes under. No surprise for many of us who watch this daily. Some banks are willing to take advantage of well trained and talented Realtors who know how to re position and sell bank owned multifamily properties. See the story below;


Washington First International Bank, Seattle, Washington, was closed today by the Washington Department of Financial Institutions, whichappointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver.To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase andassumption agreement with East West Bank, Pasadena, California, toassume all of the deposits of Washington First International Bank.

The four branches of Washington First International Bank will reopen during normal business hours beginning Saturday as branches of EastWest Bank. Depositors of Washington First International Bank willautomatically become depositors of East West Bank. Deposits willcontinue to be insured by the FDIC, so there is no need for customersto change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurancecoverage. Customers of Washington First International Bank shouldcontinue to use their existing branch until they receive notice fromEast West Bank that it has completed systems changes to allow otherEast West Bank branches to process their accounts as well.

This evening and over the weekend, depositors of Washington First International Bank can access their money by writing checks or usingATM or debit cards. Checks drawn on the bank will continue to beprocessed. Loan customers should continue to make their payments asusual.

As of March 31, 2010, Washington First International Bank had approximately $520.9 million in total assets and $441.4 million intotal deposits. East West Bank will pay the FDIC a premium of 0.5percent to assume all of the deposits of Washington First InternationalBank. In addition to assuming all of the deposits of the failed bank,East West Bank agreed to purchase approximately $501.0 million of thefailed bank's assets. The FDIC will retain the remaining assets forlater disposition.

The FDIC and East West Bank entered into a loss-share transaction on $418.8 million of Washington First International Bank's assets. EastWest Bank will share in the losses on the asset pools covered under theloss-share agreement. The loss-share transaction is projected tomaximize returns on the assets covered by keeping them in the privatesector. The transaction also is expected to minimize disruptions forloan customers. For more information on loss share, please visit: http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/lossshare/index.html.

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Glen's San Francisco East Bay Numbers

Here’s a snapshot of the San Francisco East Bay Real Estate Market. I run these numbers monthly and have been tracking 38 cities since 2005. I primarily look at two indicators, Months Supply and Pending Over Active ratios.Pending Over Active Ratio relates to buyers and sellers. Basic Econ 101, Supply and demand. Actives (represents sellers), or properties that are still available, versus Pending (represents buyers), or properties leaving the market. That relationship often indicates whether we’re in a “sellers or buyers” market. A ratio of 1 (an equal number of Actives and Pending) is considered a normal market or in a state of equilibrium. Anything under (high inventory, few buyers), prices are flat or dropping. Anything above (low inventory, many buyers) is considered a seller’s market. The trend since earlier this year indicates that we are in a “sellers” market in most cities. However, one factor that may be skewing the numbers is that there are longer escrows due to REOs and increased government loans.Months Supply, Basically, months supply is the ratio of inventory to sales. What it tells us is how many months the stock of homes for sale would last, if sales continued at their current rate. Six months supply is considered normal or equilibrium. We are currently at a two month supply of houses for sale for the entire 38 cities that I track. Many cities are now below that level with a few even below 30 days. This is also an indicator that we are in a “sellers” market in most cities.DOM, (Days On Market), continue to decrease in most areas. Houses are going into escrow quicker. However, once in escrow, they are taking longer to close.Also, the relationship between what, on average, homes are selling for to list price support this. We’re seeing properties in many areas getting multiple offers and actually now, on average, selling at or above the average list price. The spreadsheet takes into account sales by city during the last 4 months.Areas that were hit hardest last year due to high inventories and downward pressure on prices due to the high number of distressed properties on the market, are now starting to see some recovery, especially in the lower priced areas. Examples would be in East Contra Costa along highway 4, (Pittsburg, Antioch, Brentwood, even Concord). More recently, in West Contra Costa in the San Pablo, Richmond, Pinole, Hercules areas).Finally, we are starting to see a slight increase in foreclosed properties coming onto the market. 17% of active listings are foreclosed properties (REOs), as compared to 14% last month.See attached spreadsheet HERE:Glen's Numbers 10.31.090001.pdf
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